As the world follows every whisper & rumor from AI, what has happened to public SaaS?

Forward Revenue Multiples by Quartile

The answer is not much! All the fun is in the private markets.

Multiples haven’t moved outside of a narrow band since the post-Covid crash in 2022.

AI & Non-AI Software Companies Valued Differently

Even here, AI is the story, with AI SaaS companies seeing different valuation correlates : revenue growth. Meanwhile, non-AI SaaS companies are valued more broadly with efficiency metrics included.

The scarcity of hyper-growth companies in 2025 tells its own story. Public SaaS companies have matured. The median company in our dataset grows at 13.7% annually, with a median multiple of 5.5x.

Revenue Growth Distribution Across SaaS Companies

Most companies cluster near the median, with a few outliers driving exceptional growth rates. The distribution shows a steep drop-off from the top performers & a cluster of shrinking businesses.

The private market contains tens of unicorns with growth rates multiple times higher in both AI & classic SaaS. At some point soon, the largest AI companies’ capital requirements will push them to IPO.

At that point, the data will look very different!