From 10 to 31 Tasks Daily : The Agent Inflection Point

Since I watched software engineers using AI, I’ve become jealous.

I’ve seen the most sophisticated software engineers assign 15 to 20 coding tasks in GitHub to an AI. They play foosball. They grab coffee. They return to evaluate the agent’s work.

The agent tackles the same task three different ways. Sometimes it nails the solution on the first try. Other times it needs more input. That engineer has paralleled her time by 10x to 15x.

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Top 10 Posts of 2025

Abstract visualization showing the 2025 paradox: massive AI infrastructure investment vs dramatic cost reduction

While OpenAI signed $1.15 trillion in compute contracts through 2035, DeepSeek trained a frontier model for $6 million. This was 2025’s central question : are we building on bedrock or quicksand?

The top 10 posts of 2025 examined some of these topics :

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Vercel's AI Sales Agent : 10 SDRs Down to 1 in Six Weeks

I remember hosting a dinner of sales leaders to talk about AI. I asked them what will your CRM do for you in the future?

Nearly unanimously came the reply : enable salespeople to spend most of their time with customers.

Listening to Lenny’s Podcast with Jeanne Grosser, COO at Vercel, I discovered how some companies are achieving that milestone by transforming their inbound sales teams in six weeks.

For us, we had 10 SDRs doing this inbound workflow, & now we just have one that is effectively QAing the agent. The other nine, we deployed on outbound.

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Private Equity : The New Distribution Channel for AI Startups

Private equity firms have emerged as the newest distribution channel for AI startups.

From Public to Private : The Reversal in Corporate Ownership

While public companies have decreased from 6,639 in 2000 to 3,550 in 2024, PE-owned companies in the US have grown from 1,950 to 14,300. The rate of growth continues to accelerate.

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The Bacon & the Skillet: When Does the AI Market Congeal?

The AI market today is bacon in a hot skillet. Everything is sizzling, moving, & changing at an incredible pace. We’re all watching it closely.

Market share is fluid because no one yet knows what AI can do & the second we think have grasped it, models improve. The Nvidia chip performance & the launch of Gemini 3 the biggest gain ever in Google model performance suggest no simmering ahead.

As long as the underlying models hurtle towards PhD level performance, people will continue to test. How much better is Gemini 3 at coding? tool calling? writing?

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The Scaling Wall Was A Mirage

Two revelations this week have shaken the narrative in AI : Nvidia’s earnings & this tweet about Gemini.

Oriol Vinyals tweet about Gemini 3 scaling

The AI industry spent 2025 convinced that pre-training scaling laws had hit a wall. Models weren’t improving just from adding more compute during training.

Then Gemini 3 launched. The model has the same parameter count as Gemini 2.5, one trillion parameters, yet achieved massive performance improvements. It’s the first model to break 1500 Elo on LMArena & beat GPT-5.1 on 19 of 20 benchmarks.

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What 375 AI Builders Actually Ship

70% of production AI teams use open source models. 72.5% connect agents to databases, not chat interfaces. This is what 375 technical builders actually ship - & it looks nothing like Twitter AI.

350 out of 413 teams use open source models

70% of teams use open source models in some capacity. 48% describe their strategy as mostly open. 22% commit to only open. Just 11% stay purely proprietary.

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Teaching Local Models to Call Tools Like Claude

Ten months ago, DeepSeek collapsed AI training costs by 90% using distillation - transferring knowledge from larger models to smaller ones at a fraction of the cost.

Distillation works like a tutor training a student : a large model teaches a smaller one.1 As we’ve shifted from knowledge retrieval to agentic systems, we wondered if there was a parallel technique for tool calling.2

Could a large model teach a smaller one to call the right tools?

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Running Out of AI

By Monday lunch, I had burned through my Claude code credits. I’d been warned ; damn the budget, full prompting ahead.

Screenshot 2025-11-12 at 8.25.37 AM
I typed ultrathink to solve a particularly challenging coding problem, knowing the rainbow colors of the word was playing with digital fire.

Screenshot 2025-11-12 at 8.26.41 AM

When that still couldn’t solve the issue, I summoned Opus, the biggest & most expensive model, to solve it.

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Datadog: As Reliable as Your Golden Retriever

Datadog is becoming a platform company, & its Q3 2025 results underscore how successful this transition is. If nothing else, the consistency around 25% growth for the last 12 quarters exemplifies this point.

Datadog revenue growth chart showing quarterly revenue & year-over-year growth rate

Net dollar retention underpins this growth, combined with accelerating new customer account acquisition. One of the biggest changes in the last five quarters is terrific cross-selling across an increasingly large product suite.

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