How Much Should You Expect Your Startup to Slow in 2022? About 21%.

AWS announced earnings earlier today and reported 33% growth. That concludes this quarter’s IaaS earnings scorecard reports & provides us a complete picture of the infrastructure buyer’s index.

image

AWS’s growth rate is the slowest of the three largest public infrastructure clouds. With about 39% market share, AWS reigns supreme as the largest provider. Larger businesses face more daunting challenges sustaining higher growth rates, so AWS numbers are expected.

Read more

Office Hours with Bill Binch: Structuring Sales Teams for Success

image On August 11 at 9:30 AM Pacific time, Office Hours will host legendary sales leader Bill Binch. Bill started his career at Oracle where he rose to VP. He led Marketo sales as EVP of Worldwide Sales. Most recently, Bill led the sales team at Pendo as CRO. Today, he’s an operating partner at Battery.

Over the last few weeks, I’ve been writing about Deliberately Underselling as Sales Strategy. Bill & I have been trading emails about different ways of accomplishing this goal. In addition, many founders & sales leaders have asked questions about the details, the pros & cons, & the alternatives to this strategy.

Read more

The Health of Cloud Spending in Mid-2022

I’m watching public company earnings to identify early weaknesses in the software market. This week Microsoft, Google/ Alphabet, & Amazon report their figures.

Today, Microsoft & Google revealed the health of their infrastructure business units.

Company Q-4 CAGR Q-3 CAGR Q-2 CAGR Q-1 CAGR Q0 CAGR
Microsoft Azure 50% 51% 46% 46% 40%
Google Cloud Platform 46% 54% 45% 51% 35%
Amazon Web Services 37% 39% 40% 40% n/a

Good news & bad news. Microsoft Azure grew 40% y/y, declining six percentage points from the previous two quarters. The relatively modest decline suggests the cloud market is quite strong.

Read more

How to Structure Your Sales Compensation Plan to Deliberately Undersell

In Deliberately Underselling as Sales Strategy, I wrote about the importance of sizing contracts below customer needs to ensure customer success.

“A key part of the formula: crafting the right account executive compensation structure to reward this strategy.” I received a pile of questions asking for more detail.

image

Since then, I’ve spoken to many sales leaders & Lee Kirkpatrick who originally surfaced the concept during Office Hours on how to do this well.

Read more

How Important is Your Software to Your Customer? It's Time to Find Out.

“We need to start doing more with less. Finance told us our budget is decreasing by 20%.”

This sentence echoes in conference rooms across many software buyers today, irrespective of whether the business is healthy. Boards push prudence during a time of recession, which cascades through the organization.

Management teams expect to reduce operating expense by 20% predominantly through headcount reductions or hiring freezes - everyone from sardine startups to public megalodons.

Read more

Spot the Difference

What is the difference between web2 & web3, really? Yes, there are tokens and initial coin offerings and drops and discords. But, today, they resemble each other quite a bit.

Here’s my mental model: image

Imagine a startup that sells sports cards. A web2 architecture for this app would have five parts

  1. A transaction database: user 1 sold card ABC to user 3.
  2. A metadata database: user 1’s first name is Samuel and his profile picture is found at this URL.
  3. File storage: the profile picture file is saved here.
  4. App server: the code that runs the application.
  5. IaaS/CDN (Infrastructure as a Service / Content Delivery Network): the servers that run code.

Compare this image to a web3 architecture with the web3 parts in red. image

Read more

PE in VC in 22

In 2018 at Saastr, Jason Lemkin & I talked about private equity becoming an increasingly aggressive buyer of venture-backed software companies.

Last year, private equity firms inhaled $29 billion dollars’ worth of startups - a twenty-year record and 50% more than the previous peak.

image

The high-water mark underscored the importance of private equity sponsors as an exit avenue for startups in black Sharpie marker. In 2021, PE buyouts constituted more than 20% of venture-backed M&A by dollars, doubling in the past decade.

Read more

The Bid/Ask Spread in Venture Capital

I wish I had a chart of the bid/ask spread in venture capital today.

The bid/ask spread in VC is the difference between the post-money valuation between a VC (the bidder) & a company (seller).

In the past few years, the spread has been tight. The market is liquid. Many startups sell shares to buyers at mutually attractive prices. Like the old stock trading floors with brokers yelling at each other, but in our era, we negotiate over Zoom coffees instead.

Read more

A Masterclass in Sales Development from Lars Nilsson at Snowflake

Yesterday, Office Hours welcomed Lars Nilsson, VP Sales Development from Snowflake to talk about his learnings across 5 companies he helped take public.

Throughout the hour, Lars provided insightful perspectives on how to build sales organizations. These the five most memorable takeaways for me.

  1. In early-stage companies, founders sell for the first three to four quarters. Then, many founders opt to hire an AE. Hiring a sales or business-development representative (SDR/BDR) can be the better choice. Incoming account executives will want to see a significant lead volume before joining, especially when selling into the enterprise.

Read more

The Missing Letter from the English Alphabet

Before the Second World War, King George journaled the end of Neville Chamberlain’s term as prime minister:

“I accepted his resignation, & told him how grossly unfairly I thought he had been treated, & that I was terribly sorry that all this controversy had happened. … I sent for Winston & asked him to form a Government. This he accepted & told me he had not thought this was the reason for my having sent for him.”

Read more