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    Trends by @ttunguz

    Venture Capitalist at Theory

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    Trends

    2025

    The Third UI : The Rise & Fall of the Keyboard

    March 21

    How Much Is A Venture Firm Worth?

    March 9

    Google's Future in Search & AI

    February 7

    Back to Text: How AI Might Reverse Web Design

    January 5

    2024

    The White Collar Revolution

    November 6

    Profit Dollars per GPU Dollar

    November 5

    Trends in the Post-Modern Data Stack

    October 29

    A Challenge to SaaS Orthodoxy

    October 10

    The PostModern Data Stack

    August 12

    Punctuated Equilibrium in AI : Is it Better to Be A First Mover or A Last Mover?

    July 15

    The Series A Crunch or the Seedpocalypse of 2024

    June 21

    Apple's AI Challenger Sale

    June 11

    The Capex Conquest in the Cloud

    May 1

    A Shift in LLM Marketing : The Rise of the B2B Model

    April 24

    My Favorite Uses of AI

    April 14

    Why Databases Won't Charge for Storage in the Future

    March 12

    What If LLMs Change the Business Model of the Internet?

    February 27

    AI Design Patterns

    February 5

    Experience as a Status Symbol

    January 31

    2023

    Step-Ups & Duration : The Shape of Things to Come to the Series A in 2024

    December 14

    Snow Angels Come Early to Data : Snowflake's Strength Spells Success for Startups

    November 29

    The New Threat to a Data Leader's Career

    November 27

    Sudden Disturbances in Rapidly Moving Objects : The Implications of the OpenAI Fiasco

    November 20

    Top 10 Trends for Data in 2024

    November 9

    Gas Gas Revolution

    October 27

    The Convergence of Data & Software Engineering in the Age of AI

    October 20

    Centaurs & Cyborgs : The Jagged Frontier of AI

    October 1

    Artisanal Emails

    September 26

    Building Applications with AI - Lessons from LangChain, Hearth, & Context.ai

    September 21

    Whispers of the Future

    September 8

    The Rise of Data Lakes in Software Architecture

    September 7

    The Dawn of AI : Pricing Power & Profits in NVidia's Business

    August 23

    Seizing the Moment: Strategies for Startups to Outmaneuver Competition in a Turning Economy

    August 17

    Surprising Data Points about the Venture Capital Market

    August 8

    How Will a Venture Capital Recovery Feel? Observations from 2008

    August 7

    The Paradox of AI and Data Roles: How Automation Will Increase Demand for Data Professionals

    July 28

    Signs We've Touched the Bottom

    July 26

    The Fracking of Information

    July 11

    What 70m Thread Users Mean for B2B Marketers

    July 7

    Picking Teams in AI

    June 26

    What if Every SaaS App Spoke English?

    June 11

    Web3 in SaaS Clothing

    June 8

    Microsoft's Billion Dollar AI Business

    April 26

    Software Spending Growth Will Accelerate by 40% in 2023, But it Doesn't Feel that Way

    April 24

    Why Every Startup Needs an AI Strategy

    April 19

    The 4 Questions Startups Should Ask Themselves about Building with Generative AI

    April 7

    Which Increases Productivity More : The Advent of Personal Computer or a Large-Language Model?

    March 21

    When Will SaaS Budgets Increase Again?

    March 17

    How ChatGPT Will Restructure Engineering Teams & Create Opportunity for Startups

    March 7

    A Flare Across the Clouds : Cloudflare's Earnings Report

    February 14

    Venture Capital, Withering & Dying

    February 10

    When AI Favors the Incumbents

    February 2

    The Future of Startup Office

    January 31

    Rabbits on Firetrucks : Generating Images for B2B Blog Posts Using AI

    January 13

    2022

    Five Predictions for 2023

    December 18

    Top 10 Posts of 2022

    December 4

    Napoleon's Influence on the Modern Data Stack : hyperdimensional Analysis with Malloy

    November 30

    9 Predictions for Data in 2023

    October 26

    10 Predictions for Data at the Impact Summit

    September 26

    Messaging: the Bottleneck for Web3

    August 4

    The End of Web3

    July 8

    The Macroeconomic Signal to Watch for Software & Infrastructure Startups

    June 1

    The 4 Startup States During a Recession

    May 16

    Cash Flow Shockwaves

    May 5

    5 Key Data Points about the Early Venture Market in Q1 2022

    May 4

    Product-Market Fit in Different Capital Environments

    May 3

    Imagine You're a Venture Capitalist...

    April 25

    $112m of Market Cap per Engineer

    March 31

    Startup Self-Repricing as a Recruiting Tool

    March 25

    Do Data Startups Command a Premium in the Fundraising Market?

    January 11

    2021

    Passive Investing in Venture Capital and the Parallels to Public Equities

    October 8

    You'll Never Login the Same Way Again

    August 23

    The Decline of Venture Debt at the Early Stage

    July 24

    The Figures that Will Move the Venture Capital Market in the Next 3-5 Years

    June 6

    The One Force that Will Govern How We Return to Work

    May 3

    Never Raising, Always Raising

    April 22

    The Identity Crisis Facing Open Source Companies in the Cloud

    April 2

    The Feedback Loops in Data that Will Change SaaS Architecture

    March 2

    The Most Popular Startup Domain Suffixes - .com, .co, .gg - Which is Best for Your Business?

    February 21

    The Five Flavors of ARR - New Definition, Same Great Multiple

    January 27

    The Secret to Keeping Your Software Running and Keeping Customers Happy

    January 26

    The Fastest Growing Sectors of Startup Fundraising in 2020

    January 18

    Why Remote Work Changes the Nature of Leadership, and the Kinds of Leaders to Recruit in Startups

    January 4

    2020

    5 Predictions for 2021

    December 17

    Where to Start if You're Curious about Macroeconomics Today

    December 14

    Rediscovering the Power of the Command Line

    December 9

    The Supercharger Boosting Startupland Fundraising and Exits

    November 20

    Why IPOs, Direct Listings, and SPACs Will Flourish in Startupland

    October 19

    The Five Important Trends in Data, and the One Megatrend Powering Them All

    July 31

    The Unforeseen Benefits of Online Events

    July 19

    An Economic History of the US in Five Stock Market Crashes

    July 17

    What I've Learned about Modern Monetary Theory

    July 13

    Cloud Data Lakes - The Future of Large Scale Data Analysis

    July 9

    Two Charts that I've Been Wondering About

    June 30

    Where are Most Unicorns Headquartered?

    May 28

    California Dreaming - Is Silicon Valley Still the Best Place to Start a Company?

    May 25

    How Would You Manage Your Business Differently if Shelter-in-Place Lasted 18 Months or More?

    May 13

    The Fundraising Market Has Changed, But Not in the Way I Thought

    May 6

    Bullwhip and Base Rates - The Two Major Forces Impacting Startups in Q2

    April 26

    The Startup Sectors Most Impacted by the Coronavirus

    April 6

    Observations about Silicon Valley Two Weeks into Quarantine

    April 2

    What Will this Crisis Accelerate in Your Ecosystem?

    March 25

    Estimating the Impact of the Coronavirus on Growth

    March 16

    What Could the Venture Market Look Like in the Coronavirus Era

    March 12

    What I Expect in the Next Few Months in Startupland

    March 6

    Cloud Prem Architecture - The New Way of Serving the Enterprise with a Hub and Spoke Data Model

    January 29

    Has VC Become So Big It Must Be Disrupted?

    January 27

    The Health of the US Venture Market in 2020

    January 7

    2019

    5 Predictions for 2020

    December 19

    The Top 10 Posts of 2019

    December 15

    What I've learned about IPOs and Direct Listings

    October 21

    Design and Open Source: A Potentially Powerful Combination

    October 14

    The Radically Different Early Stage Fundraising Market

    October 7

    Which Categories of Seed Startups are Thriving? Which Aren't?

    August 8

    The Strategic Question at Seed Today

    July 19

    Observations from the Enterprise Tech 30 List

    July 15

    The Benefits of and Questions Facing Remote and Distributed Startups

    May 28

    The Fundraising Environment in 2019 - Three Major Shifts

    May 13

    The Four Strategic Questions Facing AI Agencies

    April 14

    Eugene Wei's Novel Mental Models for Technology

    January 23

    The AI Agency - A Novel GTM for Machine Learning SaaS Startups

    January 17

    2018

    Just Where Are SaaS Companies Priced After the 2018 Correction?

    December 26

    Predictions for 2019

    December 18

    SAP Buys Qualtrics; 2018 Catapulted to $65B in $1B+ M&A Volume

    November 11

    Normalization of Valuations in the Public and Private Software Markets

    October 9

    What Does AirBnB's 'Shares for Hosts' Idea Imply for Blockchain?

    October 4

    Three Observations About the Adobe/Marketo Acquisition

    September 24

    Access is the Scarcest Commodity in Startupland

    September 3

    1% of Salesforce's Revenue Makes a Unicorn

    August 26

    Jacob's Ladder in the Startup Fundraising Market - How Startups Today Skip a Round of Fundraising

    July 23

    Why Series As are Much Easier to Raise in 2018 than the Past 5 Years

    June 24

    The Blockbuster Software M&A Market of 2018

    June 12

    The 5 Forces Driving Startup Valuations Today

    June 3

    The Most Important Book You'll Read All Year

    May 29

    When Will the Next Wave of UI Advances Happen?

    May 20

    The Effect of Flush Private Markets on Software IPOs

    April 30

    Is Geographic Dispersion of Seed Dollars Really Happening?

    March 8

    Private Equity as an Exit Option for SaaS Startups

    February 27

    The Impact of Blockchain on SaaS

    February 11

    7 Predictions for SaaS in 2018

    January 4

    2017

    An Antifragile Thanksgiving

    November 22

    Just How Disruptive Are ICOs to the Classic VC Model?

    November 5

    The Rising Stakes in SaaS

    October 22

    Maximizing Productivity on My Commute

    August 27

    Has SaaS Become Commodified?

    August 23

    The Limiting Factor of Voice and Dictation Adoption

    August 18

    Three Big Ideas on Technology Innovation Cycles

    August 11

    Labor Arbitrage Comes to Silicon Valley

    July 25

    What the Online Advertising World Can Teach Us about the Evolution of Machine Learning in SaaS

    June 20

    Ethics in Machine Learning - An Opportunity for Startups to Lead

    May 30

    The Unbundling of Excel

    May 24

    Data Middleware - The SaaS Ecosystem's Response to Fragmentation

    May 19

    My Algorithm is Better than Yours

    April 26

    When Machine Learning Just Isn't Enough

    April 19

    How Machine Learning Can Benefit Your SaaS Startup

    February 13

    2016

    The Top 6 Posts of 2016

    December 21

    Implications of Monoclouds for as-a-Service Startups - Why Differentiation Matters More than Ever

    December 5

    The Customer Support Experience of the Future

    November 10

    Are We Seeing the Beginning of SaaS Consolidation?

    October 31

    The Challenge Facing Deep-Learning Powered Startups

    October 19

    A Breakthrough in Human Computer Interaction

    August 25

    The Increasing Costs of Real Estate for Startups in San Francisco

    July 13

    The Next Big Shift in SaaS

    July 11

    The Key Ingredient to Disrupting with Machine Learning

    June 10

    Subverting Systems of Record with Chat Bots

    June 8

    Five Questions About The Future of Chatbots

    April 14

    The New UI for SaaS - The Question

    January 24

    The Hottest Startup Sectors in 2016

    January 3

    2015

    The Tech Press Cycle and Unicorns

    December 1

    The Next Major Technology to Shape SaaS

    November 2

    The Turbulence in Startupland

    October 13

    Startup Trends from YCombinator's Demo Day

    August 20

    How the Changes in UX Assumptions Create Opportunities for Startups

    August 6

    Free SaaS Enabled Marketplaces - A Novel Go-To-Market for Software Startups

    May 21

    2014

    Why Series A Startup Founder CEO Equity Stakes Have Grown 40% in Five Years

    November 4

    One of the Best Business Opportunities in the Next Decade

    October 30

    The Innovations Free Compute and Storage Unleash

    September 12

    4 Major Competitive Trends in Mobile App Stores

    August 11

    The B Corporation - A Novel Structure for Mission Driven Startups

    August 7

    The Challenge Facing Mobile-First SaaS Companies

    August 5

    What the Public Markets Trends Say About the Fundraising and M&A Environment Startups

    August 4

    What Q2 Tech Earnings Reports Say About the State of the Technology Market

    July 28

    The Coming Wave of Venture Capital and What It Means for Your Startup

    July 23

    Lessons from Interviews of Pre-Eminent VCs in 2000

    July 21

    The Next Era in SaaS

    July 14

    How Vibrant is the Hardware Startup World?

    July 8

    An Exceptional Story with Exceptional Data

    July 2

    Why Smart Watches Could be a Huge Trend in Mobile

    June 26

    The Disruption Debate is Focused on the Wrong Ideas

    June 23

    The Great Unbundling of Email

    June 16

    The Five Letters that Will Change the Data World: BYOBI

    May 23

    What's Wrong with the Internet of Things

    May 20

    The New Market Places

    March 10

    A Moore's Law for Data

    March 6

    Why the WhatsApp Acquisition Changes Everything

    February 23

    The Technology that's Taking Data Science by Storm

    January 30

    What the Nest Acquisition Means for the Internet of Things

    January 21

    My Thoughts on CES - The Six Trends on the Show Floor

    January 8

    2013

    What Bitcoin and Internet of Things Startups Have in Common

    December 6

    The Tablet-First Retail Startup

    December 2

    The Next Big Opportunity in Mobile Advertising

    November 21

    The Language of the Web

    November 19

    The First Form of Communication that Changes Depending on Who is Using It

    November 7

    The Future of Journalism in the Touch Era

    November 6

    How Mobile is Disrupting Even the Most Successful Internet Products

    November 4

    The Most Important Feature In KitKat No One is Talking About

    November 1

    The Internet Subscription Startup is Winning

    October 25

    Anticipatory Commerce: the Evolution of Intent on the Web

    October 24

    The Two Characteristics of Seamless Mobile Payment Experiences

    October 15

    How APIs Will Evolve

    October 8

    The Developer Economy: Power to the Coders

    September 26

    Google F1 and The Cascade of Innovation New Databases Create

    September 13

    The VC Firm of the Future

    September 10

    How Web Development Techniques Are Infiltrating Mobile Apps

    September 4

    Mobile Social Networks: The New Customer Acquisition Powerhouse

    August 30

    The Series A Is Overloaded

    August 29

    Marketing’s Technical Liberation

    August 22

    Anticipatory Computing - The Next Big Thing Is Enabling Laziness

    August 7

    How CrowdFunding Embodies Amazon’s Product Management Process

    July 29

    Why Support Software Is the Future of Work Email

    July 26

    Data, Data Everywhere, Not a Second to Think

    July 12

    Peak Smart Phone - What Happens to the App Economy When Smartphone Penetration Reaches 100%?

    July 6

    The Startup Sector That’s Quietly Booming

    June 27

    The Return of Venture Backed Hardware

    June 13

    The Dawn of the Voice-to-Text Era

    June 5

    Investing in the Consumer Web is Dead

    May 22

    The Future of Human Data Interaction

    May 17

    The Greatest Challenge to Facebook, LinkedIn and Twitter is Unbundling

    May 9

    Design’s New Frontier: The IRL Era

    April 26

    Machine Learning in Consumer Products

    March 12

    The Five Key Dynamics of the Seed Market in 2013

    February 21

    Salesforce’s Disruptor Won’t Be A CRM Company

    February 14

    There’s A 10x Hidden In That Tweet

    February 12

    Valuations in the Series A and Series B Market are Booming

    February 5

    The Power of Market Places

    January 31

    The startup hardware M&A market will be vibrant in 2013

    January 10

    2012

    Data on the “seedpocalypse”

    November 30

    VC investment trends in the consumer web

    November 27

    Gigabytes under management

    October 25

    Data isn’t a business model - it’s much more important

    September 19

    Defining a Personal API

    May 27