100 Trillion Tokens
“We processed over 100t tokens this quarter, up 5x year over year, including a record 50t tokens last month alone.”
If the market harbored any doubt for the insatiable demand for AI, this statement during Microsoft’s quarterly earnings yesterday, quashed it.
What could this mean for a run rate? Using some basic assumptions1, this implies :
| Scenario | Model mix (% of total tokens) | Monthly run-rate after 20 % discount | Annual run rate | % of Azure Revenue (assuming $21B Annual) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | OpenAI 70 % • Claude 20 % • Other 10 % | 382.9 | 4,594.8 | 21.88% |
| Medium | OpenAI 65 % • Claude 20 % • Other 15 % | 110.5 | 1,326.0 | 6.31% |
| Low | OpenAI 60 % • Claude 20 % • Other 20 % | 27.3 | 327.6 | 1.56% |
So AI is roughly between 2 to 22% of Azure revenue. Error bars here are quite large, though.
